Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Peru)

Saturday 24 October, 13:15

Final score

Deportivo Llacuabamba1-1Deportiva Agropecuaria

The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Deportivo Llacuabamba win (46%).

Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Deportiva Agropecuaria

  1. Deportivo Llacuabamba46%
  2. Draw31%
  3. Deportiva Agropecuaria23%

1.05 expected goals for Deportivo Llacuabamba

0.79 expected goals for Deportiva Agropecuaria

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Deportivo Llacuabamba has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 31% and a Deportiva Agropecuaria win at 23%. It expects 1.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 43%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals83%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals55%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals39%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals11%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.