Probably Football

Matches

Copa del Rey (Spain)

Tuesday 27 October, 14:00

Final score (after extra time)

RSD Alcalá1-3Las Palmas

The model gave this result 15%. Its most likely result was a Las Palmas win (64%).

RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas

  1. RSD Alcalá21%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Las Palmas64%

1.24 expected goals for RSD Alcalá

1.66 expected goals for Las Palmas

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Las Palmas the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%
  3. Over 2.5 goals58%
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.