Probably Football

Matches

Copa del Rey (Spain)

Tuesday 27 October, 13:00

Final score

Pinatar1-3Elche

The model's most likely result happened: a Elche win (72%).

Pinatar vs Elche

  1. Pinatar14%
  2. Draw14%
  3. Elche72%

1.14 expected goals for Pinatar

1.99 expected goals for Elche

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Elche the clear favourite: 72% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals60%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals38%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.