Probably Football

Matches

Copa del Rey (Spain)

Tuesday 27 October, 14:30

Final score (on penalties)

Manresa2-2Sant Andreu

The model gave this result 15%. Its most likely result was a Sant Andreu win (57%).

Manresa vs Sant Andreu

  1. Manresa28%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Sant Andreu57%

1.39 expected goals for Manresa

1.50 expected goals for Sant Andreu

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Sant Andreu the clear favourite: 57% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%
  3. Over 2.5 goals58%
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.