Probably Football

Matches

Copa del Rey (Spain)

Tuesday 27 October, 15:00

Final score

Manacor0-5Villarreal

The model's most likely result happened: a Villarreal win (88%).

Manacor vs Villarreal

  1. Manacor3%
  2. Draw9%
  3. Villarreal88%

0.88 expected goals for Manacor

3.36 expected goals for Villarreal

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Villarreal the clear favourite: 88% to win. It expects 4.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals93%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals61%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals42%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.