Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa

Gimnástica Segoviana37%
Draw15%
Cultural Leonesa48%

1.61 expected goals for Gimnástica Segoviana

1.33 expected goals for Cultural Leonesa

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Cultural Leonesa has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 15% and a Gimnástica Segoviana win at 37%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score49%
Gimnástica Segoviana or draw52%
Draw or Cultural Leonesa63%
No draw85%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

4.8 for Gimnástica Segoviana and 4.6 for Cultural Leonesa

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners46%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

5.2 expected

2.6 for Gimnástica Segoviana and 2.6 for Cultural Leonesa

Over 3.5 cards76%
Over 4.5 cards59%
Over 5.5 cards41%

Shots

27.3 expected

13.7 for Gimnástica Segoviana and 13.6 for Cultural Leonesa

Over 20.5 shots83%
Over 22.5 shots74%
Over 24.5 shots63%

Fouls

30.7 expected

15.3 for Gimnástica Segoviana and 15.4 for Cultural Leonesa

Over 20.5 fouls96%
Over 22.5 fouls91%
Over 24.5 fouls84%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.