Tuesday 27 October, 12:30
Final score
Cuarte0-2Girona
The model's most likely result happened: a Girona win (79%).
Cuarte vs Girona
- Cuarte8%
- Draw13%
- Girona79%
0.82 expected goals for Cuarte
2.15 expected goals for Girona
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Girona the clear favourite: 79% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals59%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen
- Both teams score46%
- Cuarte or draw21%
- Draw or Girona92%
- No draw87%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.