Tuesday 27 October, 15:00
Final score
Alcazar0-3Malaga
The model's most likely result happened: a Malaga win (65%).
Alcazar vs Malaga
- Alcazar20%
- Draw15%
- Malaga65%
1.14 expected goals for Alcazar
1.58 expected goals for Malaga
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Malaga the clear favourite: 65% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen
- Both teams score48%
- Alcazar or draw35%
- Draw or Malaga80%
- No draw85%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.