Tuesday 27 October, 17:30
Final score
Libertad Asuncion3-1Independiente F.b.c.
The model's most likely result happened: a Libertad Asuncion win (56%).
Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.
- Libertad Asuncion56%
- Draw22%
- Independiente F.b.c.22%
1.87 expected goals for Libertad Asuncion
1.05 expected goals for Independiente F.b.c.
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Libertad Asuncion the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals34%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen
- Both teams score54%
- Libertad Asuncion or draw78%
- Draw or Independiente F.b.c.44%
- No draw78%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.