Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score (after extra time)

Troon FC4-3Caledonian Braves

The model gave this result 14%. Its most likely result was a Caledonian Braves win (45%).

Troon FC vs Caledonian Braves

  1. Troon FC41%
  2. Draw14%
  3. Caledonian Braves45%

1.69 expected goals for Troon FC

1.63 expected goals for Caledonian Braves

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 45%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%
  3. Over 2.5 goals68%
  4. Over 3.5 goals42%
  5. Over 4.5 goals24%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.