Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Stranraer3-1Tayport

The model gave this result 39%. Its most likely result was a Tayport win (45%).

Stranraer vs Tayport

  1. Stranraer39%
  2. Draw16%
  3. Tayport45%

1.45 expected goals for Stranraer

1.46 expected goals for Tayport

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 45%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.