Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Stirling University1-2Elgin City

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Stirling University win (64%).

Stirling University vs Elgin City

  1. Stirling University64%
  2. Draw10%
  3. Elgin City26%

2.59 expected goals for Stirling University

1.21 expected goals for Elgin City

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Stirling University the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 3.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 73% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals90%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals73%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals53%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals33%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.