Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Renfrew2-1Stirling Albion

The model's most likely result happened: a Renfrew win (54%).

Renfrew vs Stirling Albion

  1. Renfrew54%
  2. Draw13%
  3. Stirling Albion33%

1.98 expected goals for Renfrew

1.23 expected goals for Stirling Albion

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Renfrew has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 13% and a Stirling Albion win at 33%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals67%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.