Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Dunipace1-5Largs Thistle

The model's most likely result happened: a Largs Thistle win (45%).

Dunipace vs Largs Thistle

  1. Dunipace42%
  2. Draw13%
  3. Largs Thistle45%

1.91 expected goals for Dunipace

1.79 expected goals for Largs Thistle

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 45%. It expects 3.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals89%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals72%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals51%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals31%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.