Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Final score

Johnstone Burgh1-0Formartine United

The model's most likely result happened: a Johnstone Burgh win (46%).

Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United

  1. Johnstone Burgh46%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Formartine United39%

1.65 expected goals for Johnstone Burgh

1.27 expected goals for Formartine United

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 46%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is exactly what was published before the match.