Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Gretna 20080-3Cumnock Juniors

The model's most likely result happened: a Cumnock Juniors win (45%).

Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors

  1. Gretna 200840%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Cumnock Juniors45%

1.50 expected goals for Gretna 2008

1.48 expected goals for Cumnock Juniors

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 45%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 64% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals64%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.