Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Dumbarton1-0Keith

The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Keith win (53%).

Dumbarton vs Keith

  1. Dumbarton34%
  2. Draw13%
  3. Keith53%

1.53 expected goals for Dumbarton

1.99 expected goals for Keith

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Keith has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 13% and a Dumbarton win at 34%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 70% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals87%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals70%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals47%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals28%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.