Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Clydebank2-1Tranent Juniors

The model's most likely result happened: a Clydebank win (58%).

Clydebank vs Tranent Juniors

  1. Clydebank58%
  2. Draw10%
  3. Tranent Juniors32%

2.52 expected goals for Clydebank

1.49 expected goals for Tranent Juniors

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Clydebank the clear favourite: 58% to win. It expects 4.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals91%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals75%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals57%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals37%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.