Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 06:00

Final score (on penalties)

Brechin2-2Strathspey Thistle

The model gave this result 11%. Its most likely result was a Brechin win (46%).

Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle

  1. Brechin46%
  2. Draw11%
  3. Strathspey Thistle43%

2.38 expected goals for Brechin

2.06 expected goals for Strathspey Thistle

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 46%. It expects 4.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals99%
  2. Over 1.5 goals94%
  3. Over 2.5 goals77%
  4. Over 3.5 goals65%
  5. Over 4.5 goals46%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.