Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 06:00

Final score

Bo'ness United2-1Forfar Athletic

The model's most likely result happened: a Bo'ness United win (57%).

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic

  1. Bo'ness United57%
  2. Draw13%
  3. Forfar Athletic30%

2.05 expected goals for Bo'ness United

1.12 expected goals for Forfar Athletic

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Bo'ness United the clear favourite: 57% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 66% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals66%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.