Probably Football

Matches

CAF Champions League (International)

Wednesday 21 October, 07:00

Final score

15 de Agosto1-6Simba

The model's most likely result happened: a Simba win (61%).

15 de Agosto vs Simba

  1. 15 de Agosto14%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Simba61%

0.76 expected goals for 15 de Agosto

1.73 expected goals for Simba

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Simba the clear favourite: 61% to win. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 37% chance, and both teams scoring, 35%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals72%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals37%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals24%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals11%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 20 October at 20:04 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.