Wednesday 28 October, 19:15
Final score (on penalties)
Atletico Tucuman1-1Platense
The model gave this result 30%. Its most likely result was a Atletico Tucuman win (43%).
Atletico Tucuman vs Platense
- Atletico Tucuman43%
- Draw30%
- Platense27%
1.23 expected goals for Atletico Tucuman
0.91 expected goals for Platense
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Atletico Tucuman has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Platense win at 27%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 10.2 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals88%
- Over 1.5 goals64%
- Over 2.5 goals42%
- Over 3.5 goals17%
- Over 4.5 goals7%
- Both teams score48%
- Atletico Tucuman or draw73%
- Draw or Platense57%
- No draw70%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.2 expected
5.0 for Atletico Tucuman and 5.2 for Platense
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners53%
- Over 10.5 corners43%
Cards
4.2 expected
1.7 for Atletico Tucuman and 2.5 for Platense
- Over 3.5 cards61%
- Over 4.5 cards42%
- Over 5.5 cards25%
Shots
24.1 expected
11.6 for Atletico Tucuman and 12.4 for Platense
- Over 20.5 shots69%
- Over 22.5 shots57%
- Over 24.5 shots45%
Fouls
20.9 expected
10.9 for Atletico Tucuman and 9.9 for Platense
- Over 20.5 fouls51%
- Over 22.5 fouls35%
- Over 24.5 fouls22%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 07:27 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.