Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Wednesday 28 October, 13:00

Final score

Jaguaré3-1Santa Fe PE

The model gave this result 22%. Its most likely result was a Santa Fe PE win (53%).

Jaguaré vs Santa Fe PE

  1. Jaguaré22%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Santa Fe PE53%

1.36 expected goals for Jaguaré

1.92 expected goals for Santa Fe PE

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Santa Fe PE has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Jaguaré win at 22%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals41%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals23%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.