Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Wednesday 28 October, 13:00

Final score

Ferroviario do Cabo1-1Salgueiro

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Salgueiro win (37%).

Ferroviario do Cabo vs Salgueiro

  1. Ferroviario do Cabo31%
  2. Draw32%
  3. Salgueiro37%

1.12 expected goals for Ferroviario do Cabo

1.22 expected goals for Salgueiro

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals45%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals21%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.