Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Wednesday 28 October, 13:00

Final score

Centro Limoeirense1-1Serrano PE

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a Centro Limoeirense win (43%).

Centro Limoeirense vs Serrano PE

  1. Centro Limoeirense43%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Serrano PE28%

1.52 expected goals for Centro Limoeirense

1.24 expected goals for Serrano PE

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Centro Limoeirense has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Serrano PE win at 28%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals30%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.