Wednesday 28 October, 13:00
Final score
Central SC2-1Pesqueira
The model's most likely result happened: a Central SC win (39%).
Central SC vs Pesqueira
- Central SC39%
- Draw32%
- Pesqueira29%
1.22 expected goals for Central SC
1.05 expected goals for Pesqueira
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals44%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen
- Both teams score49%
- Central SC or draw71%
- Draw or Pesqueira61%
- No draw68%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.