Wednesday 28 October, 13:00
Final score
Aguia FC1-0Atlético PE
The model gave this result 33%. Its most likely result was a Atlético PE win (38%).
Aguia FC vs Atlético PE
- Aguia FC33%
- Draw29%
- Atlético PE38%
1.31 expected goals for Aguia FC
1.40 expected goals for Atlético PE
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals76%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen
- Both teams score52%
- Aguia FC or draw62%
- Draw or Atlético PE67%
- No draw70%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.