Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Tuesday 27 October, 13:00

Final score

Vera Cruz1-1Íbis

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Vera Cruz win (42%).

Vera Cruz vs Íbis

  1. Vera Cruz42%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Íbis32%

1.80 expected goals for Vera Cruz

1.60 expected goals for Íbis

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Vera Cruz has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Íbis win at 32%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals44%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals26%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.