Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Saturday 24 October, 13:00

Final score

Sete de Setembro0-2América PE

The model's most likely result happened: a América PE win (59%).

Sete de Setembro vs América PE

  1. Sete de Setembro14%
  2. Draw27%
  3. América PE59%

0.96 expected goals for Sete de Setembro

1.68 expected goals for América PE

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes América PE the clear favourite: 59% to win. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals47%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.