Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Saturday 24 October, 13:00

Final score

Santa Fe PE1-1Centro Limoeirense

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a Santa Fe PE win (40%).

Santa Fe PE vs Centro Limoeirense

  1. Santa Fe PE40%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Centro Limoeirense31%

1.52 expected goals for Santa Fe PE

1.36 expected goals for Centro Limoeirense

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Santa Fe PE has the edge (40%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Centro Limoeirense win at 31%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.