Porto vs Central SC

Porto24%
Draw32%
Central SC44%

0.98 expected goals for Porto

1.28 expected goals for Central SC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Central SC has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 32% and a Porto win at 24%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
Over 2.5 goals44%It happened
Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score49%
Porto or draw56%
Draw or Central SC77%
No draw68%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.