Saturday 24 October, 13:00
Final score
Aguia FC1-3Jaguaré
The model gave this result 18%. Its most likely result was a Aguia FC win (57%).
Aguia FC vs Jaguaré
- Aguia FC57%
- Draw25%
- Jaguaré18%
2.02 expected goals for Aguia FC
1.12 expected goals for Jaguaré
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Aguia FC the clear favourite: 57% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals51%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals38%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen
- Both teams score52%
- Aguia FC or draw82%
- Draw or Jaguaré43%
- No draw75%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.