Pro League (United Arab Emirates)
Friday 30 October, 07:55
Dubai United vs Khorfakkan
- Dubai United40%
- Draw23%
- Khorfakkan37%
2.00 expected goals for Dubai United
1.75 expected goals for Khorfakkan
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Dubai United
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Dubai United attack+13%
- Khorfakkan defence+18%
Expected goals2.00
Khorfakkan
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Khorfakkan attack−5%
- Dubai United defence+36%
Expected goals1.75
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%
- Over 1.5 goals89%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Over 3.5 goals52%
- Over 4.5 goals32%
- Both teams score63%
- Dubai United or draw63%
- Draw or Khorfakkan60%
- No draw77%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.4 expected
5.2 for Dubai United and 4.2 for Khorfakkan
- Over 8.5 corners57%
- Over 9.5 corners46%
- Over 10.5 corners36%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.9 for Dubai United and 2.1 for Khorfakkan
- Over 3.5 cards56%
- Over 4.5 cards36%
- Over 5.5 cards21%
Shots
25.3 expected
14.2 for Dubai United and 11.2 for Khorfakkan
- Over 20.5 shots75%
- Over 22.5 shots64%
- Over 24.5 shots52%
Fouls
20.2 expected
9.9 for Dubai United and 10.3 for Khorfakkan
- Over 20.5 fouls46%
- Over 22.5 fouls31%
- Over 24.5 fouls18%
Saved before kickoff, on 28 October at 21:43 (Peru time). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.