Probably Football

Matches

KNVB Beker (Netherlands)

Wednesday 28 October, 14:00

Final score

Vvsb4-0EVV

The model gave this result 39%. Its most likely result was a EVV win (47%).

Vvsb vs EVV

  1. Vvsb39%
  2. Draw14%
  3. EVV47%

1.29 expected goals for Vvsb

1.36 expected goals for EVV

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

EVV has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 14% and a Vvsb win at 39%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals59%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.