Probably Football

Matches

KNVB Beker (Netherlands)

Tuesday 27 October, 14:00

Final score

Kloetinge0-2Cambuur

The model's most likely result happened: a Cambuur win (49%).

Kloetinge vs Cambuur

  1. Kloetinge39%
  2. Draw12%
  3. Cambuur49%

2.08 expected goals for Kloetinge

2.23 expected goals for Cambuur

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Cambuur has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 12% and a Kloetinge win at 39%. It expects 4.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, and both teams scoring, 67%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals93%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals76%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals63%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals43%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.