Probably Football

Matches

KNVB Beker (Netherlands)

Tuesday 27 October, 15:00

Final score

Koninklijke HFC0-5GO Ahead Eagles

The model's most likely result happened: a GO Ahead Eagles win (56%).

Koninklijke HFC vs GO Ahead Eagles

  1. Koninklijke HFC29%
  2. Draw15%
  3. GO Ahead Eagles56%

1.21 expected goals for Koninklijke HFC

1.81 expected goals for GO Ahead Eagles

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes GO Ahead Eagles the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 64% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals64%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals36%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.