Probably Football

Matches

KNVB Beker (Netherlands)

Tuesday 27 October, 12:45

Final score (on penalties)

Excelsior '311-1ADO Den Haag

The model gave this result 14%. Its most likely result was a ADO Den Haag win (51%).

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag

  1. Excelsior '3135%
  2. Draw14%
  3. ADO Den Haag51%

1.60 expected goals for Excelsior '31

1.91 expected goals for ADO Den Haag

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

ADO Den Haag has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 14% and a Excelsior '31 win at 35%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%
  2. Over 1.5 goals87%
  3. Over 2.5 goals68%
  4. Over 3.5 goals47%
  5. Over 4.5 goals28%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.