Wednesday 28 October, 19:00
The match has started. The result will appear here once we have it (it can take a few hours).
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle
- Delfin SC13%
- Draw18%
- Independiente del Valle69%
0.70 expected goals for Delfin SC
2.24 expected goals for Independiente del Valle
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Independiente del Valle the clear favourite: 69% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 9.8 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Over 3.5 goals34%
- Over 4.5 goals17%
- Both teams score49%
- Delfin SC or draw31%
- Draw or Independiente del Valle87%
- No draw82%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.8 expected
4.9 for Delfin SC and 4.8 for Independiente del Valle
- Over 8.5 corners60%
- Over 9.5 corners49%
- Over 10.5 corners39%
Cards
4.2 expected
2.0 for Delfin SC and 2.2 for Independiente del Valle
- Over 3.5 cards60%
- Over 4.5 cards41%
- Over 5.5 cards24%
Shots
26.4 expected
13.7 for Delfin SC and 12.7 for Independiente del Valle
- Over 20.5 shots80%
- Over 22.5 shots70%
- Over 24.5 shots58%
Fouls
22.8 expected
12.1 for Delfin SC and 10.7 for Independiente del Valle
- Over 20.5 fouls66%
- Over 22.5 fouls51%
- Over 24.5 fouls36%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 07:27 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.