Wednesday 28 October, 14:45
Final score
Fulham0-1Crystal Palace
The model gave this result 35%. Its most likely result was a Fulham win (40%).
Fulham vs Crystal Palace
- Fulham40%
- Draw25%
- Crystal Palace35%
1.44 expected goals for Fulham
1.15 expected goals for Crystal Palace
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals74%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen
- Both teams score50%
- Fulham or draw65%
- Draw or Crystal Palace60%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.0 expected
5.7 for Fulham and 4.3 for Crystal Palace
- Over 8.5 corners62%
- Over 9.5 corners51%
- Over 10.5 corners41%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.8 for Fulham and 2.2 for Crystal Palace
- Over 3.5 cards57%
- Over 4.5 cards37%
- Over 5.5 cards22%
Shots
25.4 expected
14.7 for Fulham and 10.7 for Crystal Palace
- Over 20.5 shots75%
- Over 22.5 shots64%
- Over 24.5 shots52%
Fouls
20.8 expected
10.1 for Fulham and 10.7 for Crystal Palace
- Over 20.5 fouls51%
- Over 22.5 fouls35%
- Over 24.5 fouls22%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.