Canadian Championship (Canada)
Wednesday 21 October, 15:00
Final score (on penalties)
CF Montreal1-1Forge
The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Forge win (53%).
CF Montreal vs Forge
- CF Montreal22%
- Draw25%
- Forge53%
0.88 expected goals for CF Montreal
1.66 expected goals for Forge
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Forge has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a CF Montreal win at 22%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.9 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%
- Over 1.5 goals73%
- Over 2.5 goals49%
- Over 3.5 goals25%
- Over 4.5 goals11%
- Both teams score50%
- CF Montreal or draw47%
- Draw or Forge78%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.9 expected
5.3 for CF Montreal and 4.6 for Forge
- Over 8.5 corners61%
- Over 9.5 corners51%
- Over 10.5 corners41%
Cards
3.8 expected
1.9 for CF Montreal and 1.9 for Forge
- Over 3.5 cards53%
- Over 4.5 cards33%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
25.6 expected
12.0 for CF Montreal and 13.7 for Forge
- Over 20.5 shots76%
- Over 22.5 shots65%
- Over 24.5 shots54%
Fouls
27.4 expected
15.1 for CF Montreal and 12.3 for Forge
- Over 20.5 fouls89%
- Over 22.5 fouls80%
- Over 24.5 fouls68%
Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.