Sunday 25 October, 16:00
Final score
Orense SC4-0Delfin SC
The model's most likely result happened: a Orense SC win (43%).
Orense SC vs Delfin SC
- Orense SC43%
- Draw29%
- Delfin SC28%
1.20 expected goals for Orense SC
1.08 expected goals for Delfin SC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Orense SC has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Delfin SC win at 28%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.8 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals43%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals20%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen
- Both teams score47%
- Orense SC or draw72%
- Draw or Delfin SC58%
- No draw71%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.8 expected
5.6 for Orense SC and 4.2 for Delfin SC
- Over 8.5 corners60%
- Over 9.5 corners50%
- Over 10.5 corners40%
Cards
3.7 expected
1.6 for Orense SC and 2.1 for Delfin SC
- Over 3.5 cards51%
- Over 4.5 cards32%
- Over 5.5 cards17%
Shots
24.9 expected
13.7 for Orense SC and 11.2 for Delfin SC
- Over 20.5 shots73%
- Over 22.5 shots62%
- Over 24.5 shots50%
Fouls
23.5 expected
11.8 for Orense SC and 11.7 for Delfin SC
- Over 20.5 fouls71%
- Over 22.5 fouls56%
- Over 24.5 fouls41%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.