Probably Football

Matches

CAF Champions League (International)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Pyramids FC4-0EL Merriekh Bentiu

The model's most likely result happened: a Pyramids FC win (90%).

Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu

  1. Pyramids FC90%
  2. Draw7%
  3. EL Merriekh Bentiu3%

2.45 expected goals for Pyramids FC

0.60 expected goals for EL Merriekh Bentiu

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Pyramids FC the clear favourite: 90% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 35%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals40%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals37%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.