Probably Football

Matches

CAF Champions League (International)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Colombe1-0Teungueth

The model's most likely result happened: a Colombe win (52%).

Colombe vs Teungueth

  1. Colombe52%
  2. Draw33%
  3. Teungueth15%

1.18 expected goals for Colombe

0.75 expected goals for Teungueth

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Colombe has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 33% and a Teungueth win at 15%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 33% chance, and both teams scoring, 36%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals58%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals33%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals13%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.