CS Sfaxien vs AFAD

CS Sfaxien54%
Draw27%
AFAD19%

1.18 expected goals for CS Sfaxien

0.87 expected goals for AFAD

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

CS Sfaxien has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a AFAD win at 19%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 37% chance, and both teams scoring, 36%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
Over 1.5 goals62%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals37%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals15%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Both teams score36%
CS Sfaxien or draw81%
Draw or AFAD46%
No draw73%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.