Probably Football

Matches

CAF Confederation Cup (International)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Réal Bamako2-2ES Zarzis

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Réal Bamako win (52%).

Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis

  1. Réal Bamako52%
  2. Draw25%
  3. ES Zarzis23%

1.45 expected goals for Réal Bamako

1.16 expected goals for ES Zarzis

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Réal Bamako has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a ES Zarzis win at 23%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 38%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals40%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.