Azam vs Masr

Azam54%
Draw26%
Masr20%

1.44 expected goals for Azam

1.08 expected goals for Masr

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Azam has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Masr win at 20%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 38%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
Over 1.5 goals72%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals39%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals25%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen

Both teams score38%
Azam or draw80%
Draw or Masr46%
No draw75%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.