CAF Confederation Cup (International)
Saturday 24 October, 10:00
Final score
Al Ahli Tripoli4-1Welwalo Adigrat Uni
The model's most likely result happened: a Al Ahli Tripoli win (72%).
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
- Al Ahli Tripoli72%
- Draw22%
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni6%
1.92 expected goals for Al Ahli Tripoli
0.77 expected goals for Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Al Ahli Tripoli the clear favourite: 72% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 37%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals40%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals28%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals14%It happened
- Both teams score37%
- Al Ahli Tripoli or draw94%
- Draw or Welwalo Adigrat Uni29%
- No draw78%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.