Probably Football

Matches

CAF Champions League (International)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Petro de Luanda3-0Scotland Mabvuku

The model's most likely result happened: a Petro de Luanda win (54%).

Petro de Luanda vs Scotland Mabvuku

  1. Petro de Luanda54%
  2. Draw32%
  3. Scotland Mabvuku14%

1.28 expected goals for Petro de Luanda

0.79 expected goals for Scotland Mabvuku

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Petro de Luanda has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 32% and a Scotland Mabvuku win at 14%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance, and both teams scoring, 36%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals62%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals35%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals16%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.