Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Mamelodi Sundowns1-1Wiliete

The model gave this result 16%. Its most likely result was a Mamelodi Sundowns win (79%).

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete

Mamelodi Sundowns79%
Draw16%
Wiliete5%

1.96 expected goals for Mamelodi Sundowns

0.60 expected goals for Wiliete

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the clear favourite: 79% to win. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance, and both teams scoring, 36%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
Over 2.5 goals38%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score36%
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw95%
Draw or Wiliete21%
No draw84%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.