Probably Football

Matches

DFB Pokal (Germany)

Tuesday 27 October, 14:00

Final score

Dynamo Dresden2-0FC Schalke 04

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a FC Schalke 04 win (55%).

Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04

  1. Dynamo Dresden23%
  2. Draw22%
  3. FC Schalke 0455%

1.06 expected goals for Dynamo Dresden

1.38 expected goals for FC Schalke 04

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes FC Schalke 04 the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals71%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals23%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.8 for Dynamo Dresden and 3.6 for FC Schalke 04

  1. Over 8.5 corners57%
  2. Over 9.5 corners46%
  3. Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Dynamo Dresden and 2.2 for FC Schalke 04

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

25.0 expected

13.6 for Dynamo Dresden and 11.4 for FC Schalke 04

  1. Over 20.5 shots74%
  2. Over 22.5 shots62%
  3. Over 24.5 shots50%

Fouls

22.4 expected

11.8 for Dynamo Dresden and 10.6 for FC Schalke 04

  1. Over 20.5 fouls63%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls47%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls33%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.